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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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this is posted by the national council for science and the environment. it's about an hour. >> our next plenary brings home many of these issues of cascading disasters and multiple events impacting each other on a more regional scale. this we look at the gulf coast. we are all familiar with the wide range of issues that upset the gulf coast raging from hurricanes, what plans to the impact they have on the deepwater horizon. today speakers on the panel marcia mcnutt, the director of the u.s. geological survey. jerome zringue. i'm hoping i am pronouncing -- zringue, excuse me. the executive director for the coastal protection and restoration of a ready of louisiana and the team of the gulf of mexico alliance, which is a group of leaders from all of the gulf coast states. nancy rabalais from the university marine consortium. i said also say about nancy that she was recently awarded one of the macarthur genius prizes. so congratulations, nancy. the fourth speaker is bernie goldstein deride i've known him a very long time. he is a public health expert. he is b
this is posted by the national council for science and the environment. it's about an hour. >> our next plenary brings home many of these issues of cascading disasters and multiple events impacting each other on a more regional scale. this we look at the gulf coast. we are all familiar with the wide range of issues that upset the gulf coast raging from hurricanes, what plans to the impact they have on the deepwater horizon. today speakers on the panel marcia mcnutt, the director of the...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the other piece is a political environment where we have the ability to fix the situation. we know what the fix is. you need a comprehensive debt deal that's big enough to stabilize the debt, and we all remember the period when you were trying to balance the budget. we're not there. we're not going to be there any time soon, but you want to make sure that the debt is not growing faster than the economy, that it's on a downward path, and we know the problem is so big that to accomplish that, you have to look at every part of the budget. you have to look at defense spending. you have to clearly focus on looking at health care costs. that's a growing facet in the economy. we have to fix the social security system, making promises bigger than what we can pay out down the road. we have to raise revenues. we started down that path, but what we have not done is looking how to do it while overhauling the tax system which when you want to raise revenues, you can do it in a good or bad way and increase competitiveness or modernizes our tax system. we know what the answers are. we'll
the other piece is a political environment where we have the ability to fix the situation. we know what the fix is. you need a comprehensive debt deal that's big enough to stabilize the debt, and we all remember the period when you were trying to balance the budget. we're not there. we're not going to be there any time soon, but you want to make sure that the debt is not growing faster than the economy, that it's on a downward path, and we know the problem is so big that to accomplish that, you...
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Jan 13, 2013
01/13
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in this environment, subsidizing wind and solar makes no sense. also five years ago, we thought that china and india, and other emerging economies, my sign-on to emissions reductions, and, therefore, that if we reduced emissions, perhaps global temperatures would be reduced. and i don't think it does but i don't tak take a position on whr mandated emissions caused global warming or not, but if we are reducing our emissions and china and india, which make up 37% of the worlds population, are not doing so, when i pointed any affect on the global temperatures. and then the first chapter of the book i talk about geoengineering solutions, that nobel prize-winning weiner thinks we can reduce global temperature if we just do it on our own. painting russ whitehurst like the sun's rays. what we are doing with a 12 and dollars were spent on alternative energy is pushing people into cars that they don't want to buy, we are raising electricity costs. we are -- we're getting rid of incandescent lightbulbs in favor of fluorescent lightbulbs. and the cost of thi
in this environment, subsidizing wind and solar makes no sense. also five years ago, we thought that china and india, and other emerging economies, my sign-on to emissions reductions, and, therefore, that if we reduced emissions, perhaps global temperatures would be reduced. and i don't think it does but i don't tak take a position on whr mandated emissions caused global warming or not, but if we are reducing our emissions and china and india, which make up 37% of the worlds population, are not...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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welcome to the 13th annual conference on science, policy, and the environment, disasters in the environment. i'm the executive director of a national council of the science of the environment, and it is my distinct master of ceremonies for much of the conference. thank you for coming. lots of people are still outside, encourage them to come in and settle themselves down. super storm sandy, drought on agriculture, wildfires, the earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear reactor accident in japan last year, haiti earthquake, the list is long and worrying. in 20 # 11, we had more disasters in the united states costing more than a billion dollars than ever. in fact, we had more expensive disasters, but not quite as many in 2012. the drought and the super storm were hugely, hugely expensive. disasters are happening with greater frequency, greater severity, and absolutely with many, many greater costs. we ray -- we are here over the next three days to work across traditional boundaries to connect scientists of all stripes with practitioners, with policymakers from the international to the local level with
welcome to the 13th annual conference on science, policy, and the environment, disasters in the environment. i'm the executive director of a national council of the science of the environment, and it is my distinct master of ceremonies for much of the conference. thank you for coming. lots of people are still outside, encourage them to come in and settle themselves down. super storm sandy, drought on agriculture, wildfires, the earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear reactor accident in japan last...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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basically creating an environment where they can go online and submit ideas. we had over 10,000 state employees participate putting in over a thousand ideas, 100,000 votes for different ideas, and we are implementing a number of those ideas in recognizing the winners and we are just going to keep that program going. it's really cool and it's about getting excited. it's not about getting caught in a bureaucracy. this is not serving our customers. [applause] i would also like to recognize something that is often looked at some of the largest court reform potentially happening right here in michigan. it was large part due to your work and i want to thank the supreme court and the entire judiciary for their involvement in the process, which talked about performance measures and were consolidations and concurrent jurisdiction. i want to compliment the court and all your fine work and all your colleagues. thank you. [applause] 2012 is is not your book are all listed at the end of year, we had a difficult time. it is unfortunate. i wish that wouldn't happen. sometime
basically creating an environment where they can go online and submit ideas. we had over 10,000 state employees participate putting in over a thousand ideas, 100,000 votes for different ideas, and we are implementing a number of those ideas in recognizing the winners and we are just going to keep that program going. it's really cool and it's about getting excited. it's not about getting caught in a bureaucracy. this is not serving our customers. [applause] i would also like to recognize...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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and that's my concern for the environment that we have. and, again, i think it crosses both sides of the aisle. the environment we have now, brookings can come up with some really good solutions. i have confidence in that. i don't have confidence that they'll be received in a way that makes them effective. >> okay. bobby, your ideas on improving government performance. like, if we made you czar for a week, what changes would you make? >> well, first, i'd like to private industry because i really do think the performance-based cultures that we talked about are critical. and there's just so much inefficiency in government. i do think there's examples at the state level, and i'll go to my state in michigan and mention a few. things that can be done. grand rapids, there which is a n the west side of michigan in southeastern michigan, had created a virtual city. even though we're on opposite sides of the state, they actually collaborate on services like health care pooling, and grand rapids has also done the same thing with flint and lansing to
and that's my concern for the environment that we have. and, again, i think it crosses both sides of the aisle. the environment we have now, brookings can come up with some really good solutions. i have confidence in that. i don't have confidence that they'll be received in a way that makes them effective. >> okay. bobby, your ideas on improving government performance. like, if we made you czar for a week, what changes would you make? >> well, first, i'd like to private industry...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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potential for political instability perhaps has increased, amplified by the deteriorating economic environment that chavez will also bequeath to his successor. so what happens next? are there some scenarios that are more likely than others? what are the implications for vens venezuela and also the international community, and what is the chavez legacy for the region? we've assembled a top flight panel, each of the panelists having deep experience in and knowledge of venezuela. our first panel cyst is russell dallen -- panelist is russell dallen. was is a journalist through and through having worked for a firm of leading publications around the world, a keen observer of the issues. he's also an effective commentator, and his views are widely sought by the press and the markets. any of you of who have followed venezuela recently have probably seen his name pop up in some of the press articles. russ is a harry suspect truman scholar which is something i like to point out whenever i can. second is charles shapiro, formerly the u.s. ambassador to venezuela. charles recently which canned a very succ
potential for political instability perhaps has increased, amplified by the deteriorating economic environment that chavez will also bequeath to his successor. so what happens next? are there some scenarios that are more likely than others? what are the implications for vens venezuela and also the international community, and what is the chavez legacy for the region? we've assembled a top flight panel, each of the panelists having deep experience in and knowledge of venezuela. our first panel...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the individual if you would have taught that in a classroom environment adjust a discussion on -- [inaudible] that's very important dynamic there. >> game changer, shell gas, more regulation, barrier, culture. i want to talk about the here mowns. [laughter] mcken city is about the cutting age looking at not only global manufacturing trends but trends you're describing advanced industry. and innovation. how do you see it? >> i think very much is said at the beginning of the context claus. there's a shift doing on. i think we should start by saying too many of us lump manufacturing in to one big category. i think there are at least five categories. i won't bore with them. i think the tip is the advanced manufacturing which is more using big data. it's advanced material. it's nano technology. it's the combination of many of the things the innovation capabilities that this country is good at the cross functional capability. as you said, it's -- it's roughly around 11 to 12% of gdp. it's extremely important fly wheel. it accounts, football we think, a third of the u.s. productivity growth. that 1
the individual if you would have taught that in a classroom environment adjust a discussion on -- [inaudible] that's very important dynamic there. >> game changer, shell gas, more regulation, barrier, culture. i want to talk about the here mowns. [laughter] mcken city is about the cutting age looking at not only global manufacturing trends but trends you're describing advanced industry. and innovation. how do you see it? >> i think very much is said at the beginning of the context...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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they create an environment in which this person is very fearful and may return again to it. so what we know is that the internet has changed how this works. it's no longer somebody walking a street. it's advertised online. and backpage.com is one of the chief places where it happens. over the last couple of years, our police department has recovered over 25 young women that were advertised for sale b on backpage.com. and when you go, you have a chance and you go online, look up your city on backpage.com, and you will find b that escorts are being advertised in your city. now, you don't know whether those are over 18 or under 18, but i can tell you neither does back page. they will say they will work on it, but we asked them, and the u.s. conference of mayors asked them to require them to have in-person age verification with id for everyone they advertise as an escort, and they refused. now, we brought pressure on them, attorney generals across the country did, state leaders did, and backpage.com was a wholly owned subsidiary of village voice media, and as a result of that pr
they create an environment in which this person is very fearful and may return again to it. so what we know is that the internet has changed how this works. it's no longer somebody walking a street. it's advertised online. and backpage.com is one of the chief places where it happens. over the last couple of years, our police department has recovered over 25 young women that were advertised for sale b on backpage.com. and when you go, you have a chance and you go online, look up your city on...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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third, with so many competing messages in the environment come and for information in preventing and reporting sexual assault states in the background a special if you don't think you're going to become a victim. the most promising method of prevention, encourage people to intervene safely when they see situations at risk for sexual assault. active bystander intervention powers men and women to act when they see risky situations. this approach has been incorporated into training by every service as well as other programs on obtaining consent, having healthy relationships and using alcohol responsibly. simply put, prevention works. there are a number of interventions that demonstrate short and long-term improvements in knowledge, skills, behavioral intention, confidence about anything, and victim empathy, and we're using them throughout the department. we are on track to creating a shift of military culture where sexual assault prevention is one more way of looking out for your comrades in arms. in conclusion, there is no single solution to the problem of sexual assault. rather, the s
third, with so many competing messages in the environment come and for information in preventing and reporting sexual assault states in the background a special if you don't think you're going to become a victim. the most promising method of prevention, encourage people to intervene safely when they see situations at risk for sexual assault. active bystander intervention powers men and women to act when they see risky situations. this approach has been incorporated into training by every...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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and while, thankfully, no one ever told me college was not for me, milton was the first environment i was ever in where college was a normal expectations. i applied to five colleges back then. when the letter arrived saying i was admitted to one i wanted, i called home with the news and my grandmother answered the phone. i'm going college, i'm going harvard. she started yelling and screaming, so excited and so proud. and then she paused and she asked, where is that anyway? [laughter] i was totally deflated. but gradually i came to realize that that it was not the press teeing my grandmother was excited about. it was the opportunity. it was the chance. that's all that mattered. that's what always matters. maybe especially here. for pilgrims seeking to worship freely, for slaves seeking freedom, for immigrants seeking a better way, for your mothers, fathers, grandmothers and grandfathers seeking a tow tow hold in the middle class. massachusetts has a lafned opportunity. everybody in this chamber gets that. in many, many encounters i've had over the last six years, with members of the le
and while, thankfully, no one ever told me college was not for me, milton was the first environment i was ever in where college was a normal expectations. i applied to five colleges back then. when the letter arrived saying i was admitted to one i wanted, i called home with the news and my grandmother answered the phone. i'm going college, i'm going harvard. she started yelling and screaming, so excited and so proud. and then she paused and she asked, where is that anyway? [laughter] i was...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the environment is one of uncertainty and obscurity. mostly uncertainty. so let's say a farmer plants an orchard or veneer, he is not sure that he has 10 years to raise the orchard and bring it to fruition. so if you grill it, there is not economic support in the region. so there is a list of activities and the need for providing us the certainty about the future of afghanistan but by the afghan leadership and the international community. i have seen the division of property and the areas with the most biting are the ones that are most affected. >> let me talk about a question to close it down. jim used a number of statistics. one that struck me was 52% of the african population of the country is going in the right direction. my question to each of you is what is your view? is the country going in the right direction? are you optimistic or pessimistic as we look forward in the next two years and after two years. >> really -- um, the country is going in the right direction. um, people feel more confident about the way that the country is conducted. but as w
the environment is one of uncertainty and obscurity. mostly uncertainty. so let's say a farmer plants an orchard or veneer, he is not sure that he has 10 years to raise the orchard and bring it to fruition. so if you grill it, there is not economic support in the region. so there is a list of activities and the need for providing us the certainty about the future of afghanistan but by the afghan leadership and the international community. i have seen the division of property and the areas with...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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they want to get their families and more stable environment. i think again we have to sell this idea of resiliency in a term that local officials get in the medium and short-term. tax base. taxes don't commend, you don't have service. it is something that is tied to a lot of factors that we all try to take a look at that it's almost overwhelming. if you start driving tax bases, how decisions are affecting your future in which her vulnerabilities to disasters are based upon the resiliency of your tax base, it allows us to introduce a lot of these other issues in a way. we are not telling you you can't do something. we are giving you tools for your tax base and what your exposure is. and what that vulnerability looks like the making of budgets decisions. >> i always start with, no matter wherein he go in the world there are disastrous events in communities and one other thing no matter where you go people don't want to leave their homes. quite frankly i think that emotional reaction is exacerbated by the disastrous events. it's an emotional react
they want to get their families and more stable environment. i think again we have to sell this idea of resiliency in a term that local officials get in the medium and short-term. tax base. taxes don't commend, you don't have service. it is something that is tied to a lot of factors that we all try to take a look at that it's almost overwhelming. if you start driving tax bases, how decisions are affecting your future in which her vulnerabilities to disasters are based upon the resiliency of...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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key is the fact that how this intensity and duration over a period of time begins to impact on the environment and on people. and so that's when you get into agricultural drought, hydrologic drought, and there's another type of drought sometimes referred to which is more socioeconomic drought, which is kind of a supply and demand thing, so there gets to be a lot of confusion sometimes between what is an agricultural drought and what is at hydrologic drought. in the minds of the public eye which is a also in the minds of some researchers and scientists speed roger, you live right there in colorado, quite a few months out of the year so you in a state that's got the perfect case study. i think he wanted to make a comment on that? >> so from the standpoint of the state of colorado, one of the things, and other states that don has mentioned them is the idea of linking the drought plan to the other planning mechanis mechanisms. the links between the drought plan and the water resources plan in many cases are very tenuous. one of the few states that's actually trying to make a link between long-term
key is the fact that how this intensity and duration over a period of time begins to impact on the environment and on people. and so that's when you get into agricultural drought, hydrologic drought, and there's another type of drought sometimes referred to which is more socioeconomic drought, which is kind of a supply and demand thing, so there gets to be a lot of confusion sometimes between what is an agricultural drought and what is at hydrologic drought. in the minds of the public eye which...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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you're going to have a consensus which is more typical of the urban environment. you're going to go into -- let's get back to laura. let's go back to bring the communities in and around or, colorado, what i think is an important conversation because i think you will find there is probably more consensus around the country for what we refer to as responsible common-sense gun legislation that complement's. we will also find in republican areas a lot of support for after-school programs. you will find a lot of that. so i think part of the way you get good at continuing that conversation, i would say that you dispel the cultural barriers. is very different to your reaction in montana. >> came to the staff to go fishing. as kid to my branch manager who is an avid outdoorsman and quite a political, owns a lot of guns but primarily traditional bow hunter. i said, rham emmanuel is coming. oh, my god. i've got to go hide my guns. and we left about this. they're going to love your guns. >> the secret service. >> the secret service came and they spend a lot of time. they cam
you're going to have a consensus which is more typical of the urban environment. you're going to go into -- let's get back to laura. let's go back to bring the communities in and around or, colorado, what i think is an important conversation because i think you will find there is probably more consensus around the country for what we refer to as responsible common-sense gun legislation that complement's. we will also find in republican areas a lot of support for after-school programs. you will...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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you can look at the social-legal environment involved without bringing children to daycare and handgun purchases, and who purchases handguns. you can can also look at what is called the vehicle that is involved, which is the physical on object. when people talk about trying to prevent some of these things, you'll hear different suggestions depending upon who the person talking is, and one of the suggestions, i'm sorry these slides weren't supposed to be here. i got the wrong slide. one of the suggestions that comes from the national rifle association is that rather than trying to do something with the gun, the vehicle itself, rather than trying to make the gun child proof in some way, instead we can make our children -- that's their terminology. it's not our terminology. and a way to make the children bulletproof is by the age old respect process of teaching people, teaching them how to be careful. in this case, teaching young children so the eddie eagle gun safe program at the national rifle association developed many years ago and has been implementing in schools throughout the count
you can look at the social-legal environment involved without bringing children to daycare and handgun purchases, and who purchases handguns. you can can also look at what is called the vehicle that is involved, which is the physical on object. when people talk about trying to prevent some of these things, you'll hear different suggestions depending upon who the person talking is, and one of the suggestions, i'm sorry these slides weren't supposed to be here. i got the wrong slide. one of the...